Objective: To establish a new model for liver transplantation recipients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and validate the feasibility of it.
Methods: From February 1999 to June 2005, clinical data of 130 liver cancer patients who accepted liver transplantation were collected. Screening the pretransplant factors correlated with post-transplant survival using COX proportional-hazards regression, and establishing the assessment model. Finally, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC ROC) were used to compare the validity of the new model with MELD.
Results: Screened by the COX model, serum concentrations of alkaline phosphatase, alphafetoprotein, sodium and the number of tumor nodule were significantly related with post-transplant survival. The new model with these four variables had greater ability to assess post-transplant recipients' outcomes, however, the MELD had not evaluation capacity.
Conclusion: The established new model has a better ability to assess the risk of post-transplant mortality.