Objective: To evaluate late PAPP-A levels as predictive of preterm birth in symptomatic women.
Study design: Prospective cohort study of singleton gestations, 23 to 34 weeks, and symptoms of preterm labor. PAPP-A, IGF-I and IGF-III analysis were performed. Primary end point was delivery < or =7 days. Accuracy and optimally predictive PAPP-A values were based on receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curves.
Result: In all, 26 women (51%) delivered < or =7 days post-admission (Group 1); 25 women (49%) >7 days (Group 2). Group 1 mean PAPP-A=38 000 vs 55 333 for Group 2 (P<0.04). Group 1 mean gestational age at delivery=29 weeks vs 37 weeks for Group 2 (P<0.00014). PAPP-A level < or =30,000 mU l(-1) had highest specificity (88%), sensitivity (50%), and positive predictive (81%) and negative predictive (62%) values for delivery < or =7 days. ROC area under curve=0.703.
Conclusion: PAPP-A levels < or =30,000 mU l(-1) at admission was associated with increased risk for preterm birth < or =7 days, supporting active management and therapeutic approach in these women.