A propensity-matched study of the association of low serum potassium levels and mortality in chronic heart failure

Eur Heart J. 2007 Jun;28(11):1334-43. doi: 10.1093/eurheartj/ehm091.

Abstract

Aims: Potassium homeostasis is essential for normal myocardial function, and low serum potassium may cause fatal arrhythmias. However, the association of low potassium and long-term mortality and morbidity in heart failure (HF) is largely unknown.

Methods and results: We studied 6845 HF patients in the Digitalis Investigation Group trial with serum potassium levels < or =5.5 mEq/L. Of these, 1189 had low potassium (<4 mEq/L). Propensity scores for low potassium were calculated for each patient and were used to match 1187 low-potassium patients with 1187 normal-potassium (4-5.5 mEq/L) patients. Effects of low potassium on outcomes were assessed using matched Cox regression analyses. All-cause mortality occurred in 379 (rate, 1103/10 000 person-years) normal-potassium and 441 (rate, 1330/10 000 person-years) low-potassium patients, respectively, during 3437 and 3315 years of follow-up [hazard ratio (HR), 1.25; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.07-1.46; P = 0.006]. Cardiovascular mortality occurred in 297 (864/10 000 person-years) normal-potassium and 356 (1074/10 000 person-years) low-potassium patients (HR, 1.27; 95% CI, 1.06-1.51; P = 0.009). Cardiovascular hospitalization occurred in 610 (rate, 2553/10 000 person-years) normal-potassium and 637 (rate, 2855/10 000 person-years) low-potassium patients (HR, 1.13; 95% CI, 0.99-1.29; P = 0.082).

Conclusion: In a cohort of ambulatory chronic systolic and diastolic HF patients who were balanced in all measured baseline covariates, serum potassium <4 mEq/L was associated with increased mortality, with a trend towards increased hospitalization.

Publication types

  • Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Chronic Disease
  • Cohort Studies
  • Female
  • Heart Failure / blood
  • Heart Failure / mortality*
  • Humans
  • Hypokalemia / complications*
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Survival Analysis