Structure prediction and computational protein design should benefit from accurate solvent models. We have applied implicit solvent models to two problems that are central to this area. First, we performed sidechain placement for 29 proteins, using a solvent model that combines a screened Coulomb term with an Accessible Surface Area term (CASA model). With optimized parameters, the prediction quality is comparable with earlier work that omitted electrostatics and solvation altogether. Second, we computed the stability changes associated with point mutations involving ionized sidechains. For over 1000 mutations, including many fully or partly buried positions, we compared CASA and two generalized Born models (GB) with a more accurate model, which solves the Poisson equation of continuum electrostatics numerically. CASA predicts the correct sign and order of magnitude of the stability change for 81% of the mutations, compared to 97% with the best GB. We also considered 140 mutations for which experimental data are available. Comparing to experiment requires additional assumptions about the unfolded protein structure, protein relaxation in response to the mutations, and contributions from the hydrophobic effect. With a simple, commonly-used unfolded state model, the mean unsigned error is 2.1 kcal/mol with both CASA and the best GB. Overall, the electrostatic model is not important for sidechain placement; CASA and GB are equivalent for surface mutations, while GB is far superior for fully or partly buried positions. Thus, for problems like protein design that involve all these aspects, the most recent GB models represent an important step forward. Along with the recent discovery of efficient, pairwise implementations of GB, this will open new possibilities for the computational engineering of proteins.
2007 Wiley-Liss, Inc.