Integrated model shows that atmospheric brown clouds and greenhouse gases have reduced rice harvests in India

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2006 Dec 26;103(52):19668-72. doi: 10.1073/pnas.0609584104. Epub 2006 Dec 8.

Abstract

Previous studies have found that atmospheric brown clouds partially offset the warming effects of greenhouse gases. This finding suggests a tradeoff between the impacts of reducing emissions of aerosols and greenhouse gases. Results from a statistical model of historical rice harvests in India, coupled with regional climate scenarios from a parallel climate model, indicate that joint reductions in brown clouds and greenhouse gases would in fact have complementary, positive impacts on harvests. The results also imply that adverse climate changes due to brown clouds and greenhouse gases contributed to the slowdown in harvest growth that occurred during the past two decades.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
  • Research Support, U.S. Gov't, Non-P.H.S.

MeSH terms

  • Air Pollutants
  • Atmosphere / chemistry*
  • Color
  • Crops, Agricultural / economics
  • Crops, Agricultural / growth & development*
  • Greenhouse Effect*
  • India
  • Models, Biological*
  • Oryza / economics
  • Oryza / growth & development*
  • Seasons
  • Temperature
  • Time Factors
  • Weather*

Substances

  • Air Pollutants