Exploring the possibility of risk assessment of Japanese sexual offenders using Static-99

Crim Behav Ment Health. 2006;16(3):146-54. doi: 10.1002/cbm.622.

Abstract

Background: The number of sexual offences reported in Japan doubled between 1992 and 2002. This has prompted attention to assessment of risk of recidivism.

Aims: To explore whether an actuarial assessment of risk widely used in the West can be meaningfully applied to Japanese men serving a prison sentence for sexual offences.

Method: All sex offenders incarcerated in Kitakyushu Medical Prison in Fukuoka at any time in a period of one year (1 July 2002-30 June 2003) were identified. Demographic data, characteristics of offences and the Static-99 were rated from records.

Results: Following a slightly modified application of coding rules, all items of the Static-99 were rateable. Nine offenders of 45 whose Static-99 score was over 6 were thus identified as high-risk offenders. The items distinguishing apparently high-risk men were history of institutionalization as a delinquent and mental retardation.

Conclusions and implications for practice: The Static-99 may be a useful tool in assessing sex offenders in Japan. With apparently increasing recognition of sex crimes here, it seems timely to be developing a systematic approach to assessment. Further work is required to test its value in practice as a predictor of recidivism.

MeSH terms

  • Demography
  • Humans
  • Japan
  • Male
  • Risk Assessment*
  • Sex Offenses / legislation & jurisprudence*