Nosocomial bacteremia in very old patients: predictors of mortality

Aging Clin Exp Res. 2005 Aug;17(4):337-42. doi: 10.1007/BF03324619.

Abstract

Background and aims: Nosocomial Bacteremia (NB) is associated with high mortality in elderly patients. To determine specific prognostic factors for 7- and 30-day mortality in elderly patients with NB, we analysed the characteristics of 62 NB patients, retrospectively.

Methods: This retrospective study concerns 62 cases of NB diagnosed within a 3-year period in a geriatric department. Bacteremia is described according to CDC definitions. Epidemiological characteristics, co-morbidities, clinical (activities of daily living (ADL) before NB) and biological findings (neutrophil count, lymphocyte count, albuminemia before NB) were collected for each patient. A systemic clinical reaction was defined by the presence of one of the following parameters: chills, hypothermia <36 degrees C or hyperthermia >38.5 degrees C, or shock. Types of micro-organism and source of NB were also collected. All variables were analysed for mortality at day 7 (7-day mortality) and at day 30 (30-day mortality).

Results: The 7-day mortality rate was 21% and the 30-day rate was 45%. In multivariate analysis, 7-day mortality was only associated with the absence of systemic clinical reaction [OR 9.7 (3.7-25.7)]. Again, in multivariate analysis, 30-day mortality was associated with an ADL score <2 [OR 8.3 (4.3-16.4)] and cocci gram positive NB [OR= 3.6 (1.9-6.9)].

Conclusions: The absence of any systemic clinical reaction as a single independent predictor for 7-day mortality suggests either a poorer immune response to nosocomial bacteremia or a delay in diagnosis. Functional status was the strongest predictor for 30-day mortality. In this population, further prospective studies need to include these factors to evaluate predictors of mortality for serious infectious diseases.

MeSH terms

  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Bacteremia / diagnosis*
  • Bacteremia / epidemiology
  • Bacteremia / microbiology
  • Bacteremia / mortality*
  • Chronic Disease
  • Comorbidity
  • Cross Infection / diagnosis*
  • Cross Infection / epidemiology
  • Cross Infection / microbiology
  • Cross Infection / mortality*
  • France / epidemiology
  • Hospitals
  • Humans
  • Male
  • Multivariate Analysis
  • Predictive Value of Tests
  • Prognosis
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Time Factors