Generalised reliability characteristics for probabilistic networks

Artif Intell Med. 2005 May;34(1):41-52. doi: 10.1016/j.artmed.2004.07.011.

Abstract

Background: In the medical domain, establishing a diagnosis typically amounts to reasoning about the unobservable truth, based upon a set of indirect observations from diagnostic tests. A diagnostic test may not be perfectly reliable, however. To avoid misdiagnosis, therefore, the reliability characteristics of the test should be taken into account upon reasoning.

Objective: In this paper, we address the issue of modelling the reliability characteristics of diagnostic tests in a probabilistic network.

Method: To this end, we study the mathematical foundation of a test's characteristics and collate them with the probabilities required for a probabilistic network.

Results: We show that the standard reliability characteristics that are generally available from the literature have to be further detailed and stratified, for example by experts, before they can be included in a network. We demonstrate these modelling issues by means of a real-life probabilistic network in oncology.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Diagnosis, Computer-Assisted*
  • Humans
  • Neoplasms / diagnosis*
  • Neural Networks, Computer*
  • Predictive Value of Tests
  • Probability*
  • Sensitivity and Specificity