Objectives: The aim of this study was to determine the value of serum fibrosis markers for the diagnosis of oesophageal varices in alcoholic patients.
Methods: Fifty-four sets of clinical and biochemical data, including serum markers of fibrosis, obtained from 146 heavy alcohol drinkers (106 men, 40 women; mean age 49.2+/-9.0 years) without any history of variceal bleeding were analysed. Gastroscopy and liver biopsy were performed in all patients. Multivariate analysis was performed to identify the markers best correlated with oesophageal varices.
Results: Fifty-nine patients (40.4%) had severe fibrosis (3+) and 48 (32.9%) had oesophageal varices (all grades considered together). In multivariate analysis, a prothrombin index below 60%, alkaline phosphatase activity over 110 IU/l, and hyaluronate over 100 g/l were the best markers for the prediction of oesophageal varices. The diagnostic accuracy for medium to large oesophageal varices using these three factors was 86%. Eight patients (16.7%) with oesophageal varices presented no or moderate fibrosis (F<3): one patient (12.5%) had an alkaline phosphatase level >110 IU/l. However, all eight of these patients had small oesophageal varices.
Conclusions: These three non-invasive markers correctly predict the presence or absence of medium to large oesophageal varices in 86% of alcoholic patients.