Background: Decreased concentrations of total cholesterol, lipoproteins, and lipoprotein cholesterols occur early in the course of critical illness. Low cholesterol concentrations correlate with high concentrations of cytokines such as interleukin (IL)-6 and IL-10, and may be due to decreased synthesis or increased catabolism of cholesterol. Low cholesterol concentrations have been associated clinically with several adverse outcomes, including the development of nosocomial infections. The study was performed to test the hypothesis that a low cholesterol concentration predicts mortality and secondarily predicts the development of organ dysfunction in critical surgical illness.
Methods: A prospective study was undertaken of 215 patients admitted to a university surgical ICU with systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS). Serial blood samples were collected within 24 h of admission, as well as on the morning of days 2, 4, and 7 of the ICU stay for as long as the patients were in the ICU. Demographic data and predetermined outcomes were noted.
Results: One hundred nine patients had at least two samples drawn and form the population for analysis. Sixty-two of the patients had three samples obtained, whereas 42 patients had four samples obtained. By univariate analysis, non-survivors were more severely ill on admission (APACHE III), more likely to have been admitted to the ICU as an emergency, more likely to develop a nosocomial infection, and more likely to develop severe organ dysfunction (MODS) (all, p < 0.05). Death was associated on day 1 with increased concentrations of sIL2R, IL-6, IL-10, and sTNFR-p75 (all, p < 0.01), but there were initially no differences in serum lipid concentrations. However, by day 2, concentrations of IL-6, IL-10, and cholesterol had decreased significantly (all, p < 0.05) from day 1 in non-survivors but not in survivors; the difference in serum cholesterol concentration persisted to day 7 (p < 0.05). Persistently elevated concentrations of IL-6 and IL-10 were observed in patients who developed severe MODS. By logistic regression, increased APACHE III score, development of a nosocomial infection, and decreased cholesterol concentration were independently associated with mortality.
Conclusions: Decreased serum cholesterol concentration is an independent predictor of mortality in critically ill surgical patients. Repletion of serum lipids is a feasible therapeutic approach for the management of critical illness.