Severe acute respiratory syndrome epidemic in Asia

Emerg Infect Dis. 2003 Dec;9(12):1608-10. doi: 10.3201/eid0912.030382.

Abstract

We analyzed the dynamics of cumulative severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) cases in Singapore, Hong Kong, and Beijing using the Richards model. The predicted total SARS incidence was close to the actual number of cases; the predicted cessation date was close to the lower limit of the 95% confidence interval.

MeSH terms

  • China / epidemiology
  • Hong Kong / epidemiology
  • Humans
  • Models, Biological*
  • Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome / epidemiology*
  • Singapore / epidemiology