Objective: Several investigators have analyzed prognostic factors of surgical treatment for pulmonary metastases from colorectal cancer, but the results remain inconclusive. This study was performed to determine the prognostic implications of the prethoracotomy serum level of carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) in relation to the postthoracotomy recurrent pattern among patients with this disease.
Methods: A retrospective analysis of prognostic factors was undertaken in 100 patients who had consecutively undergone initial surgical resection for pulmonary metastases of colorectal origin.
Results: The overall 3- and 5-year survival rates were 62.2% and 49.4%, respectively. Univariate analysis revealed that the prethoracotomy serum CEA level and operative curability were strongly associated with prognosis, while in multivariate analysis, only the prethoracotomy serum CEA level was a significant prognostic indicator. Patients with a high level of prethoracotomy serum CEA more frequently exhibited recurrence in extrathoracic sites, especially in the brain.
Conclusion: Before thoracotomy for pulmonary metastases from colorectal cancer, the serum CEA level was the most useful prognostic factor. Patients with elevated serum CEA level should undergo a careful prethoracotomy systemic survey and postthoracotomy follow-up for extrathoracic metastases, in particular brain metastases, and an appropriate combined therapeutic modality should be considered.