Factors predictive of survival for esophageal carcinoma treated with preoperative radiotherapy with or without chemotherapy followed by surgery

Abstract

Purpose: To evaluate parameters that may influence prognosis in patients treated with preoperative radiotherapy (RT) or chemoradiation.

Methods and materials: One hundred seventy-six patients with esophageal carcinoma received preoperative radiotherapy (45 patients) or chemoradiation (131 patients). Forty-three received no surgery (NS), 32 had exploratory surgery (ES), and 101 received definitive surgery (DS).

Results: Five-year cause-specific survival and absolute survival rates were overall, 19% and 16%; NS group, 0% and 0%; ES group, 3% and 3%; DS group, 30% and 26%. On univariate analysis, definitive surgery (P < 0.0001), tumor size less than 5 cm (P < 0.0001), and chemotherapy (P = 0.0015) were significant predictors of improved cause-specific survival. Cause-specific survival was 51% for tumors </=3 cm (n = 33), 32% for 3.1 to 4 cm (n = 28), and 16% for 4.1 to 5 cm (n = 29). No patient with a tumor >/=6 cm (n = 86) survived. Multivariate analysis of the DS group showed complete or partial pathologic response (P = 0.0001), chemotherapy (P = 0.0026), and overall treatment time less than 3 months (P = 0.0405) significantly predicted improved cause-specific survival. Tumor <5 cm was marginally significant (P = 0.0515).

Conclusion: Patients who undergo preoperative chemoradiation and definitive surgery have improved survival.