CASH 2021: commercial access and space habitation

Acta Astronaut. 2002 Jul-Nov;51(1-9):637-46. doi: 10.1016/s0094-5765(02)00081-4.

Abstract

Issues about commercialization of space have been a growing concern in the past decade for the space community. This paper focuses on the work from a team of 51 students attending the Summer Session Program of the International Space University in Bremen, Germany. CASH 2021 (Commercial Access and Space Habitation) documents a plan that identifies commercial opportunities for space utilization that will extend human presence in space, and will chart the way forward for the next 20 years. The group selected four commercial sectors that show the most promise for the future: tourism, entertainment, space system service, assembly and debris removal, and research and development/production. The content of this document presents the results of their research. Historical activities in each of the commercial sectors are reviewed along with the current market situation. To provide a coherent background for future commercialization possibilities a scenario has been developed. This scenario includes a postulated upon ideal future and includes social, political and economic factors that may affect the space industry over the timeline of the study. The study also presents a roadmap, within the limited optimistic scenario developed, for the successful commercialization of space leading to future human presence in space. A broad range of commercially viable opportunities, not only within the current limits of the International Space Station, but also among the many new developments that are expected by 2021 are discussed.

MeSH terms

  • Agriculture / economics
  • Biotechnology / economics
  • Commerce / economics
  • Commerce / trends*
  • Forecasting
  • Humans
  • Industry
  • Marketing
  • Materials Testing
  • Recreation*
  • Research
  • Space Flight / economics*
  • Space Flight / trends*
  • Spacecraft
  • Technology Transfer
  • Weightlessness*