The probability of cost-effectiveness

BMC Med Res Methodol. 2002:2:5. doi: 10.1186/1471-2288-2-5. Epub 2002 Mar 11.

Abstract

Background: The study of cost-effectiveness comparisons between competing medical interventions has led to a variety of proposals for quantifying cost-effectiveness. The differences between the various approaches can be subtle, and one purpose of this article is to clarify some important distinctions.

Discussion: We discuss alternative measures in the framework of individual, patient-level, incremental net benefits. In particular we examine the probability of cost-effectiveness for an individual, proposed by Willan.

Summary: We argue that this is a useful addition to the range of cost-effectiveness measures, but will be of secondary interest to most decision makers. We also demonstrate that Willan's proposed estimate of this probability is logically flawed.

MeSH terms

  • Bayes Theorem
  • Cost-Benefit Analysis / methods
  • Cost-Benefit Analysis / statistics & numerical data*
  • Decision Support Techniques
  • Disease / economics*
  • Economics, Medical*
  • Health Personnel / economics
  • Humans
  • Therapeutics / economics*