Clinical validation of an artificial neural network trained to identify acute allograft rejection in liver transplant recipients

Liver Transpl. 2001 Jun;7(6):496-503. doi: 10.1053/jlts.2001.24642.

Abstract

Artificial neural networks (ANNs) are techniques of nonlinear data modeling that have been studied in a wide variety of medical applications. An ANN was developed to assist in the diagnosis of acute rejection in liver transplant recipients. We investigated the diagnostic accuracy of this ANN on a new data set of patients from the same hospital. In addition, we compared the diagnostic accuracy of the ANN with that of the individual input variables (alanine aminotransferase [ALT] and bilirubin levels and day posttransplantation). Clinical and biochemical data were collected retrospectively for 124 consecutive liver transplantations (117 patients) over the first 3 months after transplantation. Diagnostic accuracy was calculated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. The ANN differentiated rejection from rejection-free episodes in the new data set over the first 3 months posttransplantation with an area under the ROC curve of 0.902 and sensitivity and specificity of 80.0% and 90.1% at the optimum decision threshold, respectively. The ANN was significantly more specific than ALT or bilirubin level or day posttransplantation at their corresponding optimum decision thresholds (P <.0001). Peak ANN output occurred 1 day earlier than peak values for either ALT or bilirubin (P <.005). The diagnostic accuracy of the ANN was greater than that of any of the individual variables that had been used as inputs. It would be a useful adjunct to conventional liver function tests for monitoring liver transplant recipients in the early postoperative period.

Publication types

  • Comparative Study
  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
  • Validation Study

MeSH terms

  • Acute Disease
  • Adolescent
  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Alanine Transaminase / blood
  • Bilirubin / blood
  • Diagnosis, Computer-Assisted
  • Female
  • Graft Rejection / blood
  • Graft Rejection / diagnosis*
  • Graft Rejection / enzymology
  • Humans
  • Liver Transplantation / adverse effects*
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Neural Networks, Computer*
  • ROC Curve
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Time Factors

Substances

  • Alanine Transaminase
  • Bilirubin