An analysis of the effect of age on survival after heart transplant

J Heart Lung Transplant. 1999 Jul;18(7):668-74. doi: 10.1016/s1053-2498(99)00024-8.

Abstract

Background: Advances in immunosuppression and reports of improved survival after cardiac transplantation have led to a liberalization of traditional recipient eligibility criteria, especially age. While age alone is not a contraindication to transplantation, conflicting data exists regarding long-term survival of the older transplant recipient.

Methods: One hundred-fifty three patients undergoing consecutive first time cardiac transplantation from June 7, 1985 through February 1, 1997 were studied. For purposes of analysis, patients were stratified according to age (<55 years vs. >55 years) and hospital and late outcomes determined.

Results: The incidence of early and late acute cellular rejection was not different based up on age. The freedom from infection at 12 months was 54+/-5% for patients < or =55 compared to 32+/-8% for patients >55 years old (p = .04). Five year estimated survival for patients >55 years old was only 56+/-9% compared to 78+/-5% for patients < or =55 years old (p = .005). The hazard for death was highest within the first post-transplant year for older patients and was most commonly due to infection. Both advanced age and pre-transplant diagnosis of ischemic cardiomyopathy were found to be independently and additively predictive of reduced late survival.

Conclusions: In the present study, late survival was adversely influenced by advanced age. Older patients (>55 years) with pre-transplant diagnosis of ischemic cardiomyopathy were particularly at high risk (risk ratio 4.6:1) for death. Given little prospect of expanding the number of donor hearts, careful selection of patients over the age of 55 with pre-transplant ischemic cardiomyopathy is warranted.

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Age Distribution
  • Aging / physiology*
  • Female
  • Follow-Up Studies
  • Graft Rejection / mortality
  • Heart Transplantation / mortality*
  • Heart Transplantation / statistics & numerical data
  • Hospital Mortality
  • Humans
  • Immunosuppression Therapy / methods
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Missouri / epidemiology
  • Multivariate Analysis
  • Proportional Hazards Models
  • Prospective Studies
  • Survival Analysis
  • Survivors / statistics & numerical data
  • Time Factors