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Evaluation of individual and ensemble probabilistic forecasts of COVID-19 mortality in the United States.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2022 Apr 12;119(15):e2113561119. doi: 10.1073/pnas.2113561119. Epub 2022 Apr 8.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2022.
PMID: 35394862
Free PMC article.
Forecasting national and regional influenza-like illness for the USA.
Ben-Nun M, Riley P, Turtle J, Bacon DP, Riley S.
Ben-Nun M, et al.
PLoS Comput Biol. 2019 May 23;15(5):e1007013. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1007013. eCollection 2019 May.
PLoS Comput Biol. 2019.
PMID: 31120881
Free PMC article.
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Accurate influenza forecasts using type-specific incidence data for small geographic units.
Turtle J, Riley P, Ben-Nun M, Riley S.
Turtle J, et al.
PLoS Comput Biol. 2021 Jul 29;17(7):e1009230. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1009230. eCollection 2021 Jul.
PLoS Comput Biol. 2021.
PMID: 34324487
Free PMC article.
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COVID-19: On the Disparity in Outcomes Between Military and Civilian Populations.
Riley P, Ben-Nun M, Turtle J, Bacon D, Owens AN, Riley S.
Riley P, et al.
Mil Med. 2023 Jan 4;188(1-2):311-315. doi: 10.1093/milmed/usab404.
Mil Med. 2023.
PMID: 34632512
Free PMC article.
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COVID-19 deaths: Which explanatory variables matter the most?
Riley P, Riley A, Turtle J, Ben-Nun M.
Riley P, et al.
PLoS One. 2022 Apr 21;17(4):e0266330. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0266330. eCollection 2022.
PLoS One. 2022.
PMID: 35446873
Free PMC article.
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The United States COVID-19 Forecast Hub dataset.
Cramer EY, Huang Y, Wang Y, Ray EL, Cornell M, Bracher J, Brennen A, Rivadeneira AJC, Gerding A, House K, Jayawardena D, Kanji AH, Khandelwal A, Le K, Mody V, Mody V, Niemi J, Stark A, Shah A, Wattanchit N, Zorn MW, Reich NG; US COVID-19 Forecast Hub Consortium.
Cramer EY, et al.
Sci Data. 2022 Aug 1;9(1):462. doi: 10.1038/s41597-022-01517-w.
Sci Data. 2022.
PMID: 35915104
Free PMC article.
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Consistent pattern of epidemic slowing across many geographies led to longer, flatter initial waves of the COVID-19 pandemic.
Ben-Nun M, Riley P, Turtle J, Riley S.
Ben-Nun M, et al.
PLoS Comput Biol. 2022 Aug 15;18(8):e1010375. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1010375. eCollection 2022 Aug.
PLoS Comput Biol. 2022.
PMID: 35969627
Free PMC article.
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Evaluation of FluSight influenza forecasting in the 2021-22 and 2022-23 seasons with a new target laboratory-confirmed influenza hospitalizations.
Mathis SM, Webber AE, León TM, Murray EL, Sun M, White LA, Brooks LC, Green A, Hu AJ, McDonald DJ, Rosenfeld R, Shemetov D, Tibshirani RJ, Kandula S, Pei S, Shaman J, Yaari R, Yamana TK, Agarwal P, Balusu S, Gururajan G, Kamarthi H, Prakash BA, Raman R, Rodríguez A, Zhao Z, Meiyappan A, Omar S, Baccam P, Gurung HL, Stage SA, Suchoski BT, Ajelli M, Kummer AG, Litvinova M, Ventura PC, Wadsworth S, Niemi J, Carcelen E, Hill AL, Jung SM, Lemaitre JC, Lessler J, Loo SL, McKee CD, Sato K, Smith C, Truelove S, McAndrew T, Ye W, Bosse N, Hlavacek WS, Lin YT, Mallela A, Chen Y, Lamm SM, Lee J, Posner RG, Perofsky AC, Viboud C, Clemente L, Lu F, Meyer AG, Santillana M, Chinazzi M, Davis JT, Mu K, Piontti APY, Vespignani A, Xiong X, Ben-Nun M, Riley P, Turtle J, Hulme-Lowe C, Jessa S, Nagraj VP, Turner SD, Williams D, Basu A, Drake JM, Fox SJ, Gibson GC, Suez E, Thommes EW, Cojocaru MG, Cramer EY, Gerding A, Stark A, Ray EL, Reich NG, Shandross L, Wattanachit N, Wang Y, Zorn MW, Al Aawar M, Srivastava A, Meyers LA, Adiga A, Hurt B, Kaur G, Lewis BL, Marathe M, Venkatramanan S, Butler P, Farabow A, Muralidhar N, Ramakrishnan N, Reed C, Biggerstaff M, Borchering RK.
Mathis SM, et al.
medRxiv [Preprint]. 2023 Dec 11:2023.12.08.23299726. doi: 10.1101/2023.12.08.23299726.
medRxiv. 2023.
PMID: 38168429
Free PMC article.
Preprint.
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