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Evaluation of individual and ensemble probabilistic forecasts of COVID-19 mortality in the United States.
Cramer EY, Ray EL, Lopez VK, Bracher J, Brennen A, Castro Rivadeneira AJ, Gerding A, Gneiting T, House KH, Huang Y, Jayawardena D, Kanji AH, Khandelwal A, Le K, Mühlemann A, Niemi J, Shah A, Stark A, Wang Y, Wattanachit N, Zorn MW, Gu Y, Jain S, Bannur N, Deva A, Kulkarni M, Merugu S, Raval A, Shingi S, Tiwari A, White J, Abernethy NF, Woody S, Dahan M, Fox S, Gaither K, Lachmann M, Meyers LA, Scott JG, Tec M, Srivastava A, George GE, Cegan JC, Dettwiller ID, England WP, Farthing MW, Hunter RH, Lafferty B, Linkov I, Mayo ML, Parno MD, Rowland MA, Trump BD, Zhang-James Y, Chen S, Faraone SV, Hess J, Morley CP, Salekin A, Wang D, Corsetti SM, Baer TM, Eisenberg MC, Falb K, Huang Y, Martin ET, McCauley E, Myers RL, Schwarz T, Sheldon D, Gibson GC, Yu R, Gao L, Ma Y, Wu D, Yan X, Jin X, Wang YX, Chen Y, Guo L, Zhao Y, Gu Q, Chen J, Wang L, Xu P, Zhang W, Zou D, Biegel H, Lega J, McConnell S, Nagraj VP, Guertin SL, Hulme-Lowe C, Turner SD, Shi Y, Ban X, Walraven R, Hong QJ, Kong S, van de Walle A, Turtle JA, Ben-Nun M, Riley S, Riley P, Koyluoglu U, DesRoches D, Forli P, Hamory B, Kyriakides C, Leis H, Milliken J, Moloney M, Morgan J, Nirgudkar N, Ozcan G, Piwonka N, Ravi M, Schrader C… See abstract for full author list ➔ Cramer EY, et al. Among authors: fairchild g. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2022 Apr 12;119(15):e2113561119. doi: 10.1073/pnas.2113561119. Epub 2022 Apr 8. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2022. PMID: 35394862 Free PMC article.
Enhancing disease surveillance with novel data streams: challenges and opportunities.
Althouse BM, Scarpino SV, Meyers LA, Ayers JW, Bargsten M, Baumbach J, Brownstein JS, Castro L, Clapham H, Cummings DA, Del Valle S, Eubank S, Fairchild G, Finelli L, Generous N, George D, Harper DR, Hébert-Dufresne L, Johansson MA, Konty K, Lipsitch M, Milinovich G, Miller JD, Nsoesie EO, Olson DR, Paul M, Polgreen PM, Priedhorsky R, Read JM, Rodríguez-Barraquer I, Smith DJ, Stefansen C, Swerdlow DL, Thompson D, Vespignani A, Wesolowski A. Althouse BM, et al. Among authors: fairchild g. EPJ Data Sci. 2015;4(1):17. doi: 10.1140/epjds/s13688-015-0054-0. Epub 2015 Oct 16. EPJ Data Sci. 2015. PMID: 27990325 Free PMC article.
Measuring Global Disease with Wikipedia: Success, Failure, and a Research Agenda.
Priedhorsky R, Osthus D, Daughton AR, Moran KR, Generous N, Fairchild G, Deshpande A, Del Valle SY. Priedhorsky R, et al. Among authors: fairchild g. CSCW Conf Comput Support Coop Work. 2017 Feb-Mar;2017:1812-1834. doi: 10.1145/2998181.2998183. CSCW Conf Comput Support Coop Work. 2017. PMID: 28782059 Free PMC article.
COVID-19 reopening strategies at the county level in the face of uncertainty: Multiple Models for Outbreak Decision Support.
Shea K, Borchering RK, Probert WJM, Howerton E, Bogich TL, Li S, van Panhuis WG, Viboud C, Aguás R, Belov A, Bhargava SH, Cavany S, Chang JC, Chen C, Chen J, Chen S, Chen Y, Childs LM, Chow CC, Crooker I, Valle SYD, España G, Fairchild G, Gerkin RC, Germann TC, Gu Q, Guan X, Guo L, Hart GR, Hladish TJ, Hupert N, Janies D, Kerr CC, Klein DJ, Klein E, Lin G, Manore C, Meyers LA, Mittler J, Mu K, Núñez RC, Oidtman R, Pasco R, Piontti APY, Paul R, Pearson CAB, Perdomo DR, Perkins TA, Pierce K, Pillai AN, Rael RC, Rosenfeld K, Ross CW, Spencer JA, Stoltzfus AB, Toh KB, Vattikuti S, Vespignani A, Wang L, White L, Xu P, Yang Y, Yogurtcu ON, Zhang W, Zhao Y, Zou D, Ferrari M, Pannell D, Tildesley M, Seifarth J, Johnson E, Biggerstaff M, Johansson M, Slayton RB, Levander J, Stazer J, Salerno J, Runge MC. Shea K, et al. Among authors: fairchild g. medRxiv [Preprint]. 2020 Nov 5:2020.11.03.20225409. doi: 10.1101/2020.11.03.20225409. medRxiv. 2020. PMID: 33173914 Free PMC article. Updated. Preprint.
Using heterogeneous data to identify signatures of dengue outbreaks at fine spatio-temporal scales across Brazil.
Castro LA, Generous N, Luo W, Pastore Y Piontti A, Martinez K, Gomes MFC, Osthus D, Fairchild G, Ziemann A, Vespignani A, Santillana M, Manore CA, Del Valle SY. Castro LA, et al. Among authors: fairchild g. PLoS Negl Trop Dis. 2021 May 21;15(5):e0009392. doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0009392. eCollection 2021 May. PLoS Negl Trop Dis. 2021. PMID: 34019536 Free PMC article.
A pre-registered short-term forecasting study of COVID-19 in Germany and Poland during the second wave.
Bracher J, Wolffram D, Deuschel J, Görgen K, Ketterer JL, Ullrich A, Abbott S, Barbarossa MV, Bertsimas D, Bhatia S, Bodych M, Bosse NI, Burgard JP, Castro L, Fairchild G, Fuhrmann J, Funk S, Gogolewski K, Gu Q, Heyder S, Hotz T, Kheifetz Y, Kirsten H, Krueger T, Krymova E, Li ML, Meinke JH, Michaud IJ, Niedzielewski K, Ożański T, Rakowski F, Scholz M, Soni S, Srivastava A, Zieliński J, Zou D, Gneiting T, Schienle M; List of Contributors by Team. Bracher J, et al. Among authors: fairchild g. Nat Commun. 2021 Aug 27;12(1):5173. doi: 10.1038/s41467-021-25207-0. Nat Commun. 2021. PMID: 34453047 Free PMC article.
The United States COVID-19 Forecast Hub dataset.
Cramer EY, Huang Y, Wang Y, Ray EL, Cornell M, Bracher J, Brennen A, Rivadeneira AJC, Gerding A, House K, Jayawardena D, Kanji AH, Khandelwal A, Le K, Mody V, Mody V, Niemi J, Stark A, Shah A, Wattanchit N, Zorn MW, Reich NG; US COVID-19 Forecast Hub Consortium. Cramer EY, et al. Sci Data. 2022 Aug 1;9(1):462. doi: 10.1038/s41597-022-01517-w. Sci Data. 2022. PMID: 35915104 Free PMC article.
National and subnational short-term forecasting of COVID-19 in Germany and Poland during early 2021.
Bracher J, Wolffram D, Deuschel J, Görgen K, Ketterer JL, Ullrich A, Abbott S, Barbarossa MV, Bertsimas D, Bhatia S, Bodych M, Bosse NI, Burgard JP, Castro L, Fairchild G, Fiedler J, Fuhrmann J, Funk S, Gambin A, Gogolewski K, Heyder S, Hotz T, Kheifetz Y, Kirsten H, Krueger T, Krymova E, Leithäuser N, Li ML, Meinke JH, Miasojedow B, Michaud IJ, Mohring J, Nouvellet P, Nowosielski JM, Ozanski T, Radwan M, Rakowski F, Scholz M, Soni S, Srivastava A, Gneiting T, Schienle M. Bracher J, et al. Among authors: fairchild g. Commun Med (Lond). 2022 Oct 31;2(1):136. doi: 10.1038/s43856-022-00191-8. Commun Med (Lond). 2022. PMID: 36352249 Free PMC article.
Multiple models for outbreak decision support in the face of uncertainty.
Shea K, Borchering RK, Probert WJM, Howerton E, Bogich TL, Li SL, van Panhuis WG, Viboud C, Aguás R, Belov AA, Bhargava SH, Cavany SM, Chang JC, Chen C, Chen J, Chen S, Chen Y, Childs LM, Chow CC, Crooker I, Del Valle SY, España G, Fairchild G, Gerkin RC, Germann TC, Gu Q, Guan X, Guo L, Hart GR, Hladish TJ, Hupert N, Janies D, Kerr CC, Klein DJ, Klein EY, Lin G, Manore C, Meyers LA, Mittler JE, Mu K, Núñez RC, Oidtman RJ, Pasco R, Pastore Y Piontti A, Paul R, Pearson CAB, Perdomo DR, Perkins TA, Pierce K, Pillai AN, Rael RC, Rosenfeld K, Ross CW, Spencer JA, Stoltzfus AB, Toh KB, Vattikuti S, Vespignani A, Wang L, White LJ, Xu P, Yang Y, Yogurtcu ON, Zhang W, Zhao Y, Zou D, Ferrari MJ, Pannell D, Tildesley MJ, Seifarth J, Johnson E, Biggerstaff M, Johansson MA, Slayton RB, Levander JD, Stazer J, Kerr J, Runge MC. Shea K, et al. Among authors: fairchild g. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2023 May 2;120(18):e2207537120. doi: 10.1073/pnas.2207537120. Epub 2023 Apr 25. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2023. PMID: 37098064 Free PMC article.
184 results