Dynamics of a stochastic SIRS epidemic model with standard incidence and vaccination

Math Biosci Eng. 2022 Jul 26;19(10):10618-10636. doi: 10.3934/mbe.2022496.

Abstract

A stochastic SIRS epidemic model with vaccination is discussed. A new stochastic threshold $ R_0^s $ is determined. When the noise is very low ($ R_0^s < 1 $), the disease becomes extinct, and if $ R_0^s > 1 $, the disease persists. Furthermore, we show that the solution of the stochastic model oscillates around the endemic equilibrium point and the intensity of the fluctuation is proportional to the intensity of the white noise. Computer simulations are used to support our findings.

Keywords: Brownian motion; epidemic model; extinction; numerical simulation; persistence; stochastic.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Computer Simulation
  • Humans
  • Incidence
  • Models, Biological*
  • Stochastic Processes
  • Systemic Inflammatory Response Syndrome*
  • Vaccination