Parisian ruin for the dual risk process in discrete-time

Eur Actuar J. 2018;8(1):197-214. doi: 10.1007/s13385-018-0172-8. Epub 2018 Apr 25.

Abstract

In this paper we consider the Parisian ruin probabilities for the dual risk model in a discrete-time setting. By exploiting the strong Markov property of the risk process we derive a recursive expression for the finite-time Parisian ruin probability, in terms of classic discrete-time dual ruin probabilities. Moreover, we obtain an explicit expression for the corresponding infinite-time Parisian ruin probability as a limiting case. In order to obtain more analytic results, we employ a conditioning argument and derive a new expression for the classic infinite-time ruin probability in the dual risk model and hence, an alternative form of the infinite-time Parisian ruin probability. Finally, we explore some interesting special cases, including the binomial/geometric model, and obtain a simple expression for the Parisian ruin probability of the gambler's ruin problem.

Keywords: Binomial/geometric model; Discrete-time; Dual risk model; Parisian gambler’s ruin; Parisian ruin; Ruin probabilities.