Combination of clinical and spectral-CT iodine concentration for predicting liver metastasis in gastric cancer: a preliminary study

Purpose: This study aimed to determine the diagnostic efficacy of various indicators and models for the prediction of gastric cancer with liver metastasis.

Methods: Clinical and spectral computed tomography (CT) data from 80 patients with gastric adenocarcinoma who underwent surgical resection were retrospectively analyzed. Patients were divided into metastatic and non-metastatic groups based on whether or not to occur liver metastasis, and the region of interest (ROI) was measured manually on each phase iodine map at the largest level of the tumor. Iodine concentration (IC), normalized iodine concentration (nIC), and clinical data of the primary gastric lesions were analyzed. Logistic regression analysis was used to construct the clinical indicator (CI) and clinical indicator-spectral CT iodine concentration (CI-Spectral CT-IC) Models, which contained all of the parameters with statistically significant differences between the groups. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were constructed to evaluate the accuracy of the models.

Results: The metastatic group showed significantly higher levels of Cancer antigen125 (CA125), carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), IC, and nIC in the arterial phase, venous phase, and delayed phase than the non-metastatic group (all p < 0.05). Normalized iodine concentration Venous Phase (nICVP) exhibited a favorable performance among all IC and nIC parameters for forecasting gastric cancer with liver metastasis (area under the curve (AUC), 0.846). The combination model of clinical data with significant differences and nICVP showed the best diagnostic accuracy for predicting liver metastasis from gastric cancer, with an AUC of 0.897.

Conclusion: nICVP showed the best diagnostic efficacy for predicting gastric cancer with liver metastasis. Clinical Indicators-normalized ICVP model can improve the prediction accuracy for this condition.