A catchment scale assessment of water balance components: a case study of Chittar catchment in South India

The detailed analyses of the water balance components (WBCs) of the catchment help assess the available water resources, especially in the arid climate regions for their sustainable management and development. This paper mainly used the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model to analyze the variation in the WBCs considering the change in the Land Use and Land Cover (LULC) and meteorological variables. For this purpose, the model used the inputs of LULC and meteorological variables between 2001 and 2020 at 5 years and daily time intervals, respectively, from the Chittar river catchment. The developed models were calibrated using SWAT-CUP split-up procedure (pre-calibration and post-calibration). The model was found to be good in calibration and validation, yielding the coefficient of determination (R²) of 0.94 and 0.81, respectively. Furthermore, WBCs of the catchment were estimated for the near future (2021-2030) at the monthly and annual scales. For this endeavor, LULC was forecasted for the years 2021 and 2026 using Cellular Automata (CA)-Artificial Neural Network (ANN), and for the same period, meteorological variables were also forecasted using the smoothing moving average method from the historical data.