Modelling the effect of climate change on recovery of acidified freshwaters: relative sensitivity of individual processes in the MAGIC model

Sci Total Environ. 2006 Jul 15;365(1-3):154-66. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2006.02.042. Epub 2006 Apr 17.

Abstract

The MAGIC model was used to evaluate the relative sensitivity of several possible climate-induced effects on the recovery of soil and surface water from acidification. A common protocol was used at 14 intensively studied sites in Europe and eastern North America. The results show that several of the factors are of only minor importance (increase in pCO(2) in soil air and runoff, for example), several are important at only a few sites (seasalts at near-coastal sites, for example) and several are important at nearly all sites (increased concentrations of organic acids in soil solution and runoff, for example). In addition changes in forest growth and decomposition of soil organic matter are important at forested sites and sites at risk of nitrogen saturation. The trials suggest that in future modelling of recovery from acidification should take into account possible concurrent climate changes and focus specially on the climate-induced changes in organic acids and nitrogen retention.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Climate*
  • Ecosystem*
  • Europe
  • Forestry
  • Geography
  • Geologic Sediments / analysis
  • Geologic Sediments / chemistry
  • Hydrogen-Ion Concentration
  • Models, Biological
  • Nitrogen / analysis
  • Nitrogen / metabolism
  • North America
  • Organic Chemicals / analysis
  • Organic Chemicals / metabolism
  • Sodium Chloride / analysis
  • Soil Pollutants / analysis*
  • Time Factors
  • Water Movements
  • Water Pollutants / analysis*
  • Water Supply / analysis

Substances

  • Organic Chemicals
  • Soil Pollutants
  • Water Pollutants
  • Sodium Chloride
  • Nitrogen