The key risk indicators of road traffic crashes in Serbia, Niš region

Int J Inj Contr Saf Promot. 2019 Mar;26(1):45-51. doi: 10.1080/17457300.2018.1476384. Epub 2018 May 29.

Abstract

Traffic crashes are a serious public health and socio-economic problem, and they are one of leading causes of death of males in Serbia. In order to determine the main causes of road traffic crashes in Niš region, Republic of Serbia, nine key risk indicators of road traffic crashes are identified, organized into four groups (number and structure of crashes, consequences of traffic crashes, temporal and spatial location of traffic crashes, causes and sanctions), and described in detail. The indicators are ranked based on group fuzzy analytic hierarchy process (AHP), where experts from insurance companies, professionally engaged in the process of risk assessment, with different previous experience present different impact on the final ranking. In relation to the most influential factors in the assessment of traffic crashes, improper and unadjusted vehicle speed, overtaking and passing, as well as the physical condition of the driver have the highest effect.

Keywords: Risk indicators; causes of traffic crashes; fuzzy AHP method; traffic.

MeSH terms

  • Accidents, Traffic / mortality
  • Accidents, Traffic / prevention & control
  • Accidents, Traffic / statistics & numerical data*
  • Automobile Driving / legislation & jurisprudence*
  • Automobile Driving / statistics & numerical data*
  • Cities / epidemiology
  • Cities / statistics & numerical data
  • Distracted Driving / statistics & numerical data
  • Driving Under the Influence / statistics & numerical data
  • Humans
  • Pedestrians / statistics & numerical data
  • Risk Assessment
  • Risk Factors
  • Seasons
  • Serbia / epidemiology
  • Wounds and Injuries / epidemiology