Testing spatial heterogeneity with stock assessment models

PLoS One. 2018 Jan 24;13(1):e0190791. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0190791. eCollection 2018.

Abstract

This paper describes a methodology that combines meta-population theory and stock assessment models to gain insights about spatial heterogeneity of the meta-population in an operational time frame. The methodology was tested with stochastic simulations for different degrees of connectivity between sub-populations and applied to two case studies, North Sea cod (Gadus morua) and Northeast Atlantic sardine (Sardina pilchardus). Considering that the biological components of a population can be partitioned into discrete spatial units, we extended this idea into a property of additivity of sub-population abundances. If the additivity results hold true for putative sub-populations, then assessment results based on sub-populations will provide information to develop and monitor the implementation of finer scale/local management. The simulation study confirmed that when sub-populations are independent and not too heterogeneous with regards to productivity, the sum of stock assessment model estimates of sub-populations' SSB is similar to the SSB estimates of the meta-population. It also showed that a strong diffusion process can be detected and that the stronger the connection between SSB and recruitment, the better the diffusion process will be detected. On the other hand it showed that weak to moderate diffusion processes are not easy to identify and large differences between sub-populations productivities may be confounded with weak diffusion processes. The application to North Sea cod and Atlantic sardine exemplified how much insight can be gained. In both cases the results obtained were sufficiently robust to support the regional analysis.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Animals
  • Atlantic Ocean
  • Computer Simulation
  • Fisheries
  • Fishes*
  • Gadus morhua
  • Models, Biological*
  • North Sea
  • Population Dynamics
  • Stochastic Processes

Grants and funding

European Union Data Collection Framework (EC) 199/2008 funded the collection of the data used in this work. LC is supported by a doctoral grant from AZTI Foundation, the Basque Government BERC 2014-2017 programme and by the Spanish Ministry of Economy and Competitiveness (MINECO) BCAM Severo Ochoa excellence accreditation SEV-2013-0323. LI and AU work was partly supported by the PELAGI project funded by the Basque Government (Economic Development and Infrastructure Department). The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.