Impact of COVID-19 on the national development of countries: Implications for the public health

PLoS One. 2023 Mar 24;18(3):e0277166. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0277166. eCollection 2023.

Abstract

The article focuses on measuring the fluctuations in countries' development as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic. The obtained measures make it possible to predict the extent of the impact of risks to public health on the economy, financial-budgetary, political-institutional development of states in the future, as well as the social determinants of public health. This assessment represents a new paradigm that makes it possible to effectively evaluate the manifestations of the consequences of COVID-19 and to identify the relevant determinants of the lack of resilience of the medical and social security systems to the coronavirus pandemic around the world. We picked the determinant of national development indicators of the 59 countries in order to measure the fluctuations in their economic development. In addition, we applied the binary response model for identifying the economic, financial-budgetary, and political-institutional development change with the happiness index of the countries being the dependent variable. The analysis of our empirical model made it possible for us to conclude that economic and financial-budgetary components have significantly increased the influence on well-being during the COVID-19 pandemic. In contrast, we observed the decrease in the impact of political and institutional indicators during the same period.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • COVID-19* / epidemiology
  • Economic Development
  • Humans
  • Pandemics
  • Public Health
  • Records

Grants and funding

This work was supported by the Ministry of Education and Science of Ukraine (research topics No. 0122U000781 "The impact of COVID-19 on the transformation of the medical and social security system: economic, financial and budgetary, institutional and political determinants" and No. 0122U000778 "Socio-economic recovery after COVID-19: modeling the consequences for macroeconomic stability, national security and community resilience" and by a grant of the Internal Grant Agency (IGA) of the Faculty of Economics and Management, Czech University of Life Sciences, project 2021B0002.