Dynamics of Caputo Fractional Order SEIRV Epidemic Model with Optimal Control and Stability Analysis

Int J Appl Comput Math. 2022;8(1):28. doi: 10.1007/s40819-021-01224-x. Epub 2022 Jan 17.

Abstract

In mid-March 2020, the World Health Organization declared COVID-19, a worldwide public health emergency. This paper presents a study of an SEIRV epidemic model with optimal control in the context of the Caputo fractional derivative of order 0 < ν 1 . The stability analysis of the model is performed. We also present an optimum control scheme for an SEIRV model. The real time data for India COVID-19 cases have been used to determine the parameters of the fractional order SEIRV model. The Adam-Bashforth-Moulton predictor-corrector method is implemented to solve the SEIRV model numerically. For analyzing COVID-19 transmission dynamics, the fractional order of the SEIRV model is found to be better than the integral order. Graphical demonstration and numerical simulations are presented using MATLAB (2018a) software.

Keywords: Adam-bashforth-moulton predictor–corrector scheme; Numerical simulation; Optimal control; SEIRV model; Stability analysis.