Assessing the Dynamic Versus Thermodynamic Origin of Climate Model Biases

Geophys Res Lett. 2018 Aug 28;45(16):8471-8479. doi: 10.1029/2018GL079220. Epub 2018 Aug 18.

Abstract

Global climate models present systematic biases, among others, a tendency to overestimate hot and dry summers in midlatitude regions. Here we investigate the origin of such biases in the Community Earth System Model. To disentangle the contribution of dynamics and thermodynamics, we perform simulations that include nudging of horizontal wind and compare them to simulations with a free atmosphere. Prescribing the observed large-scale circulation improves the modeled weather patterns as well as many related fields. However, the larger part of the temperature and precipitation biases of the free atmosphere configuration remains after nudging, in particular, for extremes. Our results suggest that thermodynamical processes, including land-atmosphere coupling and atmospheric parameterizations, drive the errors present in Community Earth System Model. Our result may apply to other climate models and highlight the importance of distinguishing thermodynamic and dynamic sources of biases in present-day global climate models.

Keywords: Earth system models; atmospheric nudging; climate model biases; dynamics versus thermodynamics; global climate models; systematic biases.