Introduction: Predictive biomarkers associated with pathological response, progression precluding surgery, and/or recurrence after surgery are needed for patients with resectable non-small cell lung carcinoma (NSCLC) treated by neoadjuvant treatment. We evaluated the clinical impact of the pretreatment tumor growth rate (TGR0) and radiological response for patients with resectable NSCLC treated with neoadjuvant therapies.
Methods: Consecutive patients with resectable stage IB (≥4 cm) to IIIA NSCLC treated by neoadjuvant platinum-doublet chemotherapy with or without nivolumab at our tertiary center were retrospectively analyzed. TGR0 and RECIST objective responses were determined. Multivariable analyses identified independent predictors of event-free survival (EFS), overall survival (OS), and major pathological response (MPR).
Results: Between November 2017 and December 2022, 32 patients (mean [SD] age, 63.8 [8.0] years) were included. At a median follow-up of 54.8 months (95% CI, 42.3-60.4 months), eleven patients (34%) experienced progression or recurrence, and twelve deaths (38%) were recorded. The TGR0 cutoff of 30%/month remained the only independent factor associated with EFS (HR = 0.04; 95% CI, 0.01-0.3; p = 0.003) and OS (HR = 0.2; 95% CI, 0.03-0.7; p = 0.01). The TGR0 cut-off had a mean time-dependent AUC of 0.83 (95% CI, 0.64-0.95) and 0.80 (95% CI, 0.62-0.97) for predicting EFS and OS, respectively. Fifteen of 26 resection cases (58%) showed MPR including nine with pathological complete responses (35%). Only the objective response of the primary tumor was associated with MPR (OR = 27.5; 95% CI, 2.6-289.1; p = 0.006).
Conclusions: Assessment of TGR0 can identify patients who should benefit from neoadjuvant treatment. A tumor objective response might be a predictor of MPR after neoadjuvant treatment, which will help to adapt surgical management.
Keywords: event-free survival; major pathological response; non-small cell lung cancer; overall survival; pretreatment tumor growth rate.