Prediction of Early Kidney Transplant Graft Outcome: Insulin Resistance Index

Background: New-onset diabetes after transplantation and increased insulin resistance have both been shown to affect graft performance and survival after kidney transplantation. Thus, we aimed to evaluate the predictive roles of different insulin resistance indices on early graft function in kidney transplant recipients.

Materials and methods: We conducted a retrospective analysis of non-diabetic patients who received kidney transplantation between January 1, 2018 and December 31, 2021. The primary outcome was the predictive role of different insulin resistance indices on early graft function of serum creatinine level and estimated glomerular filtration rate at 1, 3, 6, and 12 months. The secondary outcome analyzed was the possible clinical predictive factors for poor kidney graft function at 12 months.

Results: Among 123 kidney transplantation patients, stratification with homeostatic model assessment for insulin resistance showed no significant difference in kidney graft function outcome at 1, 3, 6, and 12 months. However, patients with a higher insulin-to-glucose ratio exhibited a significantly higher serum creatinine level at 3 and 6 months and a significantly lower estimated glomerular filtration rate level at 3, 6, and 12 months. Using multivariate logistic regression analysis, patients with a higher insulin-to-glucose ratio were associated with a poorer kidney graft function 12 months after transplantation.

Conclusion: Patients with a higher baseline insulin resistance with an insulin-to-glucose ratio ≥of 0.092 exhibited a significantly worse early kidney graft function. Thus, with the identification of patients with increased insulin resistance, early intervention, and preventive measures can be implemented to enhance graft performance further.