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Standard assessments of climate forecast skill can be misleading.
Risbey JS, Squire DT, Black AS, DelSole T, Lepore C, Matear RJ, Monselesan DP, Moore TS, Richardson D, Schepen A, Tippett MK, Tozer CR. Risbey JS, et al. Nat Commun. 2021 Jul 16;12(1):4346. doi: 10.1038/s41467-021-23771-z. Nat Commun. 2021. PMID: 34272363 Free PMC article. Review.
Climate science: The 'pause' unpacked.
Risbey JS, Lewandowsky S. Risbey JS, et al. Nature. 2017 May 3;545(7652):37-39. doi: 10.1038/545037a. Nature. 2017. PMID: 28470197 No abstract available.
False precision, surprise and improved uncertainty assessment.
Parker WS, Risbey JS. Parker WS, et al. Among authors: risbey js. Philos Trans A Math Phys Eng Sci. 2015 Nov 28;373(2055):20140453. doi: 10.1098/rsta.2014.0453. Philos Trans A Math Phys Eng Sci. 2015. PMID: 26460113