Impact of Early Pandemic SARS-CoV-2 Lineages Replacement with the Variant of Concern P.1 (Gamma) in Western Bahia, Brazil

Viruses. 2022 Oct 21;14(10):2314. doi: 10.3390/v14102314.

Abstract

Background: The correct understanding of the epidemiological dynamics of COVID-19, caused by the SARS-CoV-2, is essential for formulating public policies of disease containment.

Methods: In this study, we constructed a picture of the epidemiological dynamics of COVID-19 in a Brazilian population of almost 17000 patients in 15 months. We specifically studied the fluctuations of COVID-19 cases and deaths due to COVID-19 over time according to host gender, age, viral load, and genetic variants.

Results: As the main results, we observed that the numbers of COVID-19 cases and deaths due to COVID-19 fluctuated over time and that men were the most affected by deaths, as well as those of 60 or more years old. We also observed that individuals between 30- and 44-years old were the most affected by COVID-19 cases. In addition, the viral loads in the patients' nasopharynx were higher in the early symptomatic period. We found that early pandemic SARS-CoV-2 lineages were replaced by the variant of concern (VOC) P.1 (Gamma) in the second half of the study period, which led to a significant increase in the number of deaths.

Conclusions: The results presented in this study are helpful for future formulations of efficient public policies of COVID-19 containment.

Keywords: COVID-19; impact; variant of concern.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Brazil / epidemiology
  • COVID-19* / epidemiology
  • Humans
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Nasopharynx
  • Pandemics
  • SARS-CoV-2* / genetics

Grants and funding

This research was funded by Financiadora de Estudos e Projetos (FINEP), project 27968—FINEP/RTR/PRPq/REDE/COVID-19—Sub: 09; FINEP 1227/21 Fase II—Corona-ômica BR MCTI Rede nacional de genomas, exoma e transcriptoma de COVID-19. This work was partially supported by Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES) (Edital n° 9/2020 Prevenção e Combate a Surtos, Endemias, Epidemias e Pandemias” Project number: 88887.504570/2020-00); Rede Corona-ômica BR MCTI/FINEP (Financiadora de Estudos e Projetos, FINEP Project number: 01.20.0029.000462/20). This work was partially supported by the Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP), Brazil, grants 2019/01255-9 and 2021/03684-4 (Young Investigator Program).