Recursive zonotopic set-membership approach for system-level prognostics with application to linear parameter-varying systems

ISA Trans. 2023 Apr:135:244-260. doi: 10.1016/j.isatra.2022.09.031. Epub 2022 Sep 27.

Abstract

A robust recursive zonotopic set-membership approach for remaining useful life forecasting with application to linear parameter-varying systems is proposed in this paper. The proposed approach addresses systems with degraded components formulated as a system-level prognostics problem. Thus, the critical degraded components of the system are augmented to the states resulting a nonlinear system that is reformulated as a linear parameter-varying model. Hence, joint estimation of states and parameters is adopted in a zonotopic set-membership scheme with an optimal linear matrix inequality-based tuning and assuming unknown-but-bounded noises and uncertainties. As a result, a recursive zonotopic set-membership approach is proposed for remaining useful life forecasting based on the prediction of the failure precursors of degraded systems. Finally, this approach is tested on a DC-DC converter case study with unknown degradation behaviors, and the obtained results show the estimation and the forecasting accuracy of this methodology.

Keywords: Degraded systems; Joint state-parameter estimation; Linear matrix inequality; Linear parameter-varying; Prognostics; Set-membership; Zonotopes.