Acute threshold dynamics of an epidemic system with quarantine strategy driven by correlated white noises and Lévy jumps associated with infinite measure

Int J Dyn Control. 2023;11(1):122-135. doi: 10.1007/s40435-022-00981-x. Epub 2022 Jun 22.

Abstract

Several studies have previously been conducted on the dynamics of probabilistic epidemic models driven by Lévy disorder. All of these works have used the Poisson counting process with finite Lévy measures. However, this scope disregards a considerable category of correlated Lévy jump processes governed by an infinite Lévy measure. In this research, we take into consideration this general framework applied to an epidemic model with a quarantine strategy. Under an appropriate hypothetical setting, we infer the exact threshold value between the ergodicity and the disease disappearance. Our analysis completes the work presented by Privault and Wang (J Nonlinear Sci 31(1):1-28, 2021) and puts forward a novel analytical aspect to deal with other stochastic models in several areas. As a numerical application, we implement the algorithm of Rosinski (Stoch Process Appl 117:677-707, 2007) for tempered stable Lévy processes with an infinite Lévy measure.

Keywords: Epidemic model; Ergodicity; Extinction; Lévy jumps; Lévy measure; Stochastic analysis.