Mathematical modeling and analysis for controlling the spread of infectious diseases

Chaos Solitons Fractals. 2021 Mar:144:110707. doi: 10.1016/j.chaos.2021.110707. Epub 2021 Feb 3.

Abstract

In this work, we present and discuss the approaches, that are used for modeling and surveillance of dynamics of infectious diseases by considering the early stage asymptomatic and later stage symptomatic infections. We highlight the conceptual ideas and mathematical tools needed for such infectious disease modeling. We compute the basic reproduction number of the proposed model and investigate the qualitative behaviours of the infectious disease model such as, local and global stability of equilibria for the non-delayed as well as delayed system. At the end, we perform numerical simulations to validate the effectiveness of the derived results.

Keywords: 34D23; 35B32; 37B25; 93A30; 97M60; Basic reproduction number; Hopf Bifurcation; Infectious diseases; Lyapunov function; Mathematical model; Stability analysis; Time delay.