An interval chance-constrained fuzzy modeling approach for supporting land-use planning and eco-environment planning at a watershed level

Guoliang Ou; Shukui Tan; Min Zhou; Shasha Lu; Yinghui Tao; Zuo Zhang; Lu Zhang; Danping Yan; Xingliang Guan; Gang Wu

doi:10.1016/j.jenvman.2017.09.021

An interval chance-constrained fuzzy modeling approach for supporting land-use planning and eco-environment planning at a watershed level

J Environ Manage. 2017 Dec 15;204(Pt 1):651-666. doi: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2017.09.021. Epub 2017 Sep 22.

Authors

Guoliang Ou¹, Shukui Tan², Min Zhou³, Shasha Lu⁴, Yinghui Tao⁵, Zuo Zhang⁶, Lu Zhang⁷, Danping Yan⁸, Xingliang Guan⁹, Gang Wu¹⁰

Affiliations

¹ School of Construction and Environmental Engineering, Shenzhen Polytechnic, Shenzhen, 518055, China. Electronic address: ouyang8305@szpt.edu.cn.
² College of Public Administration, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, 430074, China. Electronic address: tansk@126.com.
³ College of Public Administration, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, 430074, China. Electronic address: shijieshandian00@163.com.
⁴ School of Economics and Management, Beijing Forestry University, Room 924, No.35, Tsinghua East Road, Haidian District, Beijing, 100083, China. Electronic address: sasafly0505@163.com.
⁵ College of Public Administration, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, 430074, China. Electronic address: cherrytao6002@163.com.
⁶ Collage of Public Administration, Central China Normal University, Wuhan, 430079, China. Electronic address: zhangzuocug@163.com.
⁷ College of Public Administration, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, 430074, China. Electronic address: zhanglu54522@126.com.
⁸ College of Public Administration, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, 430074, China. Electronic address: danpingyan@hust.edu.cn.
⁹ National Academy for Mayors of China, Huixin West Street, Chaoyang District, Beijing, 100029, China. Electronic address: guanxingliang@126.com.
¹⁰ School of Construction and Environmental Engineering, Shenzhen Polytechnic, Shenzhen, 518055, China. Electronic address: mailwoo@szpt.edu.cn.

PMID: 28946002
DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2017.09.021

Abstract

An interval chance-constrained fuzzy land-use allocation (ICCF-LUA) model is proposed in this study to support solving land resource management problem associated with various environmental and ecological constraints at a watershed level. The ICCF-LUA model is based on the ICCF (interval chance-constrained fuzzy) model which is coupled with interval mathematical model, chance-constrained programming model and fuzzy linear programming model and can be used to deal with uncertainties expressed as intervals, probabilities and fuzzy sets. Therefore, the ICCF-LUA model can reflect the tradeoff between decision makers and land stakeholders, the tradeoff between the economical benefits and eco-environmental demands. The ICCF-LUA model has been applied to the land-use allocation of Wujiang watershed, Guizhou Province, China. The results indicate that under highly land suitable conditions, optimized area of cultivated land, forest land, grass land, construction land, water land, unused land and landfill in Wujiang watershed will be [5015, 5648] hm², [7841, 7965] hm², [1980, 2056] hm², [914, 1423] hm², [70, 90] hm², [50, 70] hm² and [3.2, 4.3] hm², the corresponding system economic benefit will be between 6831 and 7219 billion yuan. Consequently, the ICCF-LUA model can effectively support optimized land-use allocation problem in various complicated conditions which include uncertainties, risks, economic objective and eco-environmental constraints.

Keywords: Ecological balance; Environment protection; Interval chance-constrained fuzzy model; Land-use allocation; Wujiang watershed.

MeSH terms

China
Decision Making
Environment*
Models, Theoretical*
Probability
Uncertainty
Water

Substances

Water