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Challenges in estimation, uncertainty quantification and elicitation for pandemic modelling.
Swallow B, Birrell P, Blake J, Burgman M, Challenor P, Coffeng LE, Dawid P, De Angelis D, Goldstein M, Hemming V, Marion G, McKinley TJ, Overton CE, Panovska-Griffiths J, Pellis L, Probert W, Shea K, Villela D, Vernon I. Swallow B, et al. Among authors: villela d. Epidemics. 2022 Mar;38:100547. doi: 10.1016/j.epidem.2022.100547. Epub 2022 Feb 10. Epidemics. 2022. PMID: 35180542 Free PMC article.
Challenges for modelling interventions for future pandemics.
Kretzschmar ME, Ashby B, Fearon E, Overton CE, Panovska-Griffiths J, Pellis L, Quaife M, Rozhnova G, Scarabel F, Stage HB, Swallow B, Thompson RN, Tildesley MJ, Villela D. Kretzschmar ME, et al. Among authors: villela d. Epidemics. 2022 Mar;38:100546. doi: 10.1016/j.epidem.2022.100546. Epub 2022 Feb 11. Epidemics. 2022. PMID: 35183834 Free PMC article.
Modelling: Understanding pandemics and how to control them.
Marion G, Hadley L, Isham V, Mollison D, Panovska-Griffiths J, Pellis L, Tomba GS, Scarabel F, Swallow B, Trapman P, Villela D. Marion G, et al. Among authors: villela d. Epidemics. 2022 Jun;39:100588. doi: 10.1016/j.epidem.2022.100588. Epub 2022 May 31. Epidemics. 2022. PMID: 35679714 Free article.
Discrete time forecasting of epidemics.
Villela DAM. Villela DAM. Infect Dis Model. 2020 Jan 8;5:189-196. doi: 10.1016/j.idm.2020.01.002. eCollection 2020. Infect Dis Model. 2020. PMID: 31993546 Free PMC article.
Zika is not a reason for missing the Olympic Games in Rio de Janeiro: response to the open letter of Dr Attaran and colleagues to Dr Margaret Chan, Director - General, WHO, on the Zika threat to the Olympic and Paralympic Games.
Codeço C, Villela D, Gomes MF, Bastos L, Cruz O, Struchiner C, Carvalho LM, Coelho F. Codeço C, et al. Among authors: villela d. Mem Inst Oswaldo Cruz. 2016 Jun;111(6):414-5. doi: 10.1590/0074-02760160003. Mem Inst Oswaldo Cruz. 2016. PMID: 27304097 Free PMC article.
101 results