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Standard assessments of climate forecast skill can be misleading.
Nat Commun. 2021 Jul 16;12(1):4346. doi: 10.1038/s41467-021-23771-z.
Nat Commun. 2021.
PMID: 34272363
Free PMC article.
Review.
Monthly ENSO Forecast Skill and Lagged Ensemble Size.
Trenary L, DelSole T, Tippett MK, Pegion K.
Trenary L, et al. Among authors: delsole t.
J Adv Model Earth Syst. 2018 Apr;10(4):1074-1086. doi: 10.1002/2017MS001204. Epub 2018 Apr 20.
J Adv Model Earth Syst. 2018.
PMID: 29937973
Free PMC article.
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Assessing probabilistic predictions of ENSO phase and intensity from the North American Multimodel Ensemble.
Tippett MK, Ranganathan M, L'Heureux M, Barnston AG, DelSole T.
Tippett MK, et al. Among authors: delsole t.
Clim Dyn. 2019;53(12):7497-7518. doi: 10.1007/s00382-017-3721-y. Epub 2017 May 13.
Clim Dyn. 2019.
PMID: 31929688
Free PMC article.
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A mutual information criterion with applications to canonical correlation analysis and graphical models.
DelSole T, Tippett MK.
DelSole T, et al.
Stat (Int Stat Inst). 2021 Dec;10(1):e385. doi: 10.1002/sta4.385. Epub 2021 Sep 7.
Stat (Int Stat Inst). 2021.
PMID: 34691453
Free PMC article.
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A new method for determining the optimal lagged ensemble.
Trenary L, DelSole T, Tippett MK, Pegion K.
Trenary L, et al. Among authors: delsole t.
J Adv Model Earth Syst. 2017 Mar;9(1):291-306. doi: 10.1002/2016MS000838. Epub 2017 Jan 31.
J Adv Model Earth Syst. 2017.
PMID: 28580050
Free PMC article.
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The Weighted-Average Lagged Ensemble.
DelSole T, Trenary L, Tippett MK.
DelSole T, et al.
J Adv Model Earth Syst. 2017 Nov;9(7):2739-2752. doi: 10.1002/2017MS001128. Epub 2017 Nov 29.
J Adv Model Earth Syst. 2017.
PMID: 29399270
Free PMC article.
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Decadal predictability without ocean dynamics.
Srivastava A, DelSole T.
Srivastava A, et al. Among authors: delsole t.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2017 Feb 28;114(9):2177-2182. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1614085114. Epub 2017 Feb 13.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2017.
PMID: 28193900
Free PMC article.
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