Associations of combined phenotypic aging and genetic risk with incident cancer: A prospective cohort study

Elife. 2024 Apr 30:13:RP91101. doi: 10.7554/eLife.91101.

Abstract

Background: Age is the most important risk factor for cancer, but aging rates are heterogeneous across individuals. We explored a new measure of aging-Phenotypic Age (PhenoAge)-in the risk prediction of site-specific and overall cancer.

Methods: Using Cox regression models, we examined the association of Phenotypic Age Acceleration (PhenoAgeAccel) with cancer incidence by genetic risk group among 374,463 participants from the UK Biobank. We generated PhenoAge using chronological age and nine biomarkers, PhenoAgeAccel after subtracting the effect of chronological age by regression residual, and an incidence-weighted overall cancer polygenic risk score (CPRS) based on 20 cancer site-specific polygenic risk scores (PRSs).

Results: Compared with biologically younger participants, those older had a significantly higher risk of overall cancer, with hazard ratios (HRs) of 1.22 (95% confidence interval, 1.18-1.27) in men, and 1.26 (1.22-1.31) in women, respectively. A joint effect of genetic risk and PhenoAgeAccel was observed on overall cancer risk, with HRs of 2.29 (2.10-2.51) for men and 1.94 (1.78-2.11) for women with high genetic risk and older PhenoAge compared with those with low genetic risk and younger PhenoAge. PhenoAgeAccel was negatively associated with the number of healthy lifestyle factors (Beta = -1.01 in men, p<0.001; Beta = -0.98 in women, p<0.001).

Conclusions: Within and across genetic risk groups, older PhenoAge was consistently related to an increased risk of incident cancer with adjustment for chronological age and the aging process could be retarded by adherence to a healthy lifestyle.

Funding: This work was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (82230110, 82125033, 82388102 to GJ; 82273714 to MZ); and the Excellent Youth Foundation of Jiangsu Province (BK20220100 to MZ).

Keywords: cancer biology; cancer risk; epidemiology; global health; healthy lifestyle; human; phenotypic aging; polygenic risk score.

Plain language summary

Age is a major risk factor for cancer. Other factors, such as lifestyle or environmental exposures, may increase or mitigate cancer risks. Biological age, which considers accelerated aging processes, may, however, better predict cancer risk than chronological age. Some scientists propose using biological aging measures as an alternative for assessing cancer and other age-related disease risks, as these markers may provide a more accurate assessment of the various factors contributing to cancer risk. PhenoAge, a measure of biological aging processes in the body, could provide an alternative way to assessing aging-related cancer risks. This tool utilizes an individual’s chronological age and nine biomarkers of aging processes. It has the potential to identify individuals whose aging process is accelerated compared to their peers, potentially indicating an increased cancer risk. This information may empower them to make lifestyle changes that could significantly reduce their risk. To assess the suitability of PhenoAge, Bian, Ma et al. used nine clinical chemistry biomarkers and chronological age to calculate PhenoAge in 374,463 participants from the UK Biobank. Their findings revealed that people with older PhenoAges – regardless of their genetic risk profiles – have an increased risk of cancer. Individuals with higher PhenoAge scores, indicating accelerated biological aging, had a roughly 25 percent higher risk of developing cancer. Individuals with both a high genetic risk and higher PhenoAge score had roughly double the risk of cancer. People with lower PhenoAges were more likely to have healthier lifestyles. These results suggest that adopting healthier lifestyles may slow the aging process and reduce cancer risk. While the analyses conducted by Bian, Ma et al. provide promising insights, they also underscore the need for further research. PhenoAge may offer a way to assess biological aging and identify individuals at higher risk of cancer. Those with higher PhenoAge scores may benefit from earlier cancer screening, and adopting a healthier lifestyle could potentially slow down the aging process and reduce their cancer risk. However, more studies in more diverse cohorts of people are needed to confirm that PhenoAge is a reliable marker for cancer risk and to test interventions to slow aging and reduce cancer risks in individuals with accelerated aging.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
  • Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Aging* / genetics
  • Female
  • Genetic Predisposition to Disease
  • Humans
  • Incidence
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Neoplasms* / epidemiology
  • Neoplasms* / genetics
  • Phenotype*
  • Proportional Hazards Models
  • Prospective Studies
  • Risk Factors
  • United Kingdom / epidemiology