Insights from Explainable Artificial Intelligence of Pollution and Socioeconomic Influences for Respiratory Cancer Mortality in Italy

J Pers Med. 2024 Apr 18;14(4):430. doi: 10.3390/jpm14040430.

Abstract

Respiratory malignancies, encompassing cancers affecting the lungs, the trachea, and the bronchi, pose a significant and dynamic public health challenge. Given that air pollution stands as a significant contributor to the onset of these ailments, discerning the most detrimental agents becomes imperative for crafting policies aimed at mitigating exposure. This study advocates for the utilization of explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) methodologies, leveraging remote sensing data, to ascertain the primary influencers on the prediction of standard mortality rates (SMRs) attributable to respiratory cancer across Italian provinces, utilizing both environmental and socioeconomic data. By scrutinizing thirteen distinct machine learning algorithms, we endeavor to pinpoint the most accurate model for categorizing Italian provinces as either above or below the national average SMR value for respiratory cancer. Furthermore, employing XAI techniques, we delineate the salient factors crucial in predicting the two classes of SMR. Through our machine learning scrutiny, we illuminate the environmental and socioeconomic factors pertinent to mortality in this disease category, thereby offering a roadmap for prioritizing interventions aimed at mitigating risk factors.

Keywords: air pollution; explainable artificial intelligence; exposome; machine learning; public health; remote sensing; respiratory disease; socioeconomic indices.

Grants and funding

This paper has been supported by the TEBAKA (TErritorial BAsic Knowledge Acquisition project “Avviso MIUR n.1735 del 13/07/2017”, the National Institute for Nuclear Physics (INFN),next_AIM (Artificial Intelligence in Medicine: next steps) research project (INFN-CSN5), https://www.pi.infn.it/aim (accessed on 30 October 2023); the National Recovery and Resilience Plan(NRRP), Mission 4 Component 2 Investment 1.4—Call for tender No. 3138 of 16 December 2021 of Italian Ministry of University and Research funded by the European Union—NextGenerationEU. Award Number: Project code: CN00000013, Concession Decree No. 1031 of 17 February 2022 adopted by the Italian Ministry of University and Research, CUP H93C22000450007, Project title: “National Centre for HPC, Big Data and Quantum Computing”.