Reflections from PEARL for an era of systemic risks, uncertain futures and complex governance

Jamba. 2023 Oct 30;15(1):1485. doi: 10.4102/jamba.v15i1.1485. eCollection 2023.

Abstract

Reflecting on the root cause framework devised for the research project preparing for extreme and rare events in coastal regions (PEARL) between 2014 and 2018 suggests a growing and evolving landscape of work building on the initial Pressure and Release (PAR) model. Empirical work using the PEARL framework added to debates about the nature, role and importance of institutions in the cross-scale interactions that drive disaster risk, even for small-scale disaster events. Going forward, its use opened up questions about our epistemologies and methodologies for root causes research in an era of systemic risk, uncertain futures and complex governance, and about tackling the layers of politics that can preclude action on reducing vulnerabilities.

Contribution: The article suggests a new - and pluralised - agenda for root causes research going forward, which needs to be linked to critical understandings of the politics of root causes across disaster management and development actors and further action to reduce vulnerabilities.

Keywords: complexity; disaster causation; governance; politics; systemic risks.