Tissue Inhibitor Metalloproteinase-2·IGF-Binding Protein 7 for the Prediction of Acute Kidney Injury following Cardiac Surgery

Abstract

Introduction: Cardiac surgery-associated acute kidney injury (CSA-AKI) is a common complication associated with increased morbidity and mortality. Tissue inhibitor metalloproteinase-2·insulin-like growth factor-binding protein 7 (TIMP-2·IGFBP7) determines tubular stress markers, which may occur prior to tubular damage. Previous studies on the use of TIMP-2·IGFBP7 for the prediction of CSA-AKI showed divergent results. Therefore, this study aimed to explore the predictive value of TIMP-2·IGFBP7 measurements for the early detection of acute kidney injury (AKI) and short-term adverse outcomes after cardiac surgery.

Methods: In the prospective cohort study, blood and urine samples were collected 6-12 h after cardiac surgery. Blood samples to monitor serum creatinine levels were additionally extracted from days 1 to 7. AKI was defined based on the KDIGO consensus guidelines. AKI within 7 days following surgery was the primary outcome. The initiation of renal replacement therapy, in intensive care unit mortality, and the combination of both were secondary outcomes.

Results: A total of 557 patients were enrolled; 134 (24.06%) of them developed AKI and 33 (5.9%) had moderate or severe AKI. AKI developed more frequently in elderly patients with diabetes or with higher baseline serum creatinine levels. Patients with AKI had higher EuroSCORE II, Cleveland Clinic Score, and simplified renal index (SRI) than those without AKI. Urinary TIMP-2·IGFBP7 was significantly higher in patients with AKI. The area under the curve was 0.66 in predicting all AKI and 0.70 in predicting stages 2 and 3 AKI. The resulting sensitivity and specificity were 44.0% and 83.9%, respectively, for a calculated threshold TIMP-2·IGFBP7 value of 0.265 (ng/mL)2/1,000. The TIMP-2·IGFBP7 values, SRI score, and age were significantly associated with AKI within 7 days postoperatively. A total of 33 patients reached the composite endpoint; the percentage of patients who reached the composite endpoint in the TIMP-2·IGFBP7 of >0.265 (ng/ml)2/1,000 group was significantly higher than that of ≤0.265 (ng/mL)2/1,000 group.

Conclusions: Postoperative implementation of TIMP-2·IGFBP7 improved the prediction of CSA-AKI and may aid in identifying patients at risk of short-term adverse outcomes. We identified an ideal calculated cutoff value of 0.265 (ng/mL)2/1,000 for the prediction of CSA-AKI among all AKI patients.

Keywords: Acute kidney injury; Adverse outcomes; Cardiac surgery; IGFBP7; TIMP-2.