Climate change impacts on temperate fruit and nut production: a systematic review

Front Plant Sci. 2024 Mar 18:15:1352169. doi: 10.3389/fpls.2024.1352169. eCollection 2024.

Abstract

Temperate fruit and nut crops require distinctive cold and warm seasons to meet their physiological requirements and progress through their phenological stages. Consequently, they have been traditionally cultivated in warm temperate climate regions characterized by dry-summer and wet-winter seasons. However, fruit and nut production in these areas faces new challenging conditions due to increasingly severe and erratic weather patterns caused by climate change. This review represents an effort towards identifying the current state of knowledge, key challenges, and gaps that emerge from studies of climate change effects on fruit and nut crops produced in warm temperate climates. Following the PRISMA methodology for systematic reviews, we analyzed 403 articles published between 2000 and 2023 that met the defined eligibility criteria. A 44-fold increase in the number of publications during the last two decades reflects a growing interest in research related to both a better understanding of the effects of climate anomalies on temperate fruit and nut production and the need to find strategies that allow this industry to adapt to current and future weather conditions while reducing its environmental impacts. In an extended analysis beyond the scope of the systematic review methodology, we classified the literature into six main areas of research, including responses to environmental conditions, water management, sustainable agriculture, breeding and genetics, prediction models, and production systems. Given the rapid expansion of climate change-related literature, our analysis provides valuable information for researchers, as it can help them identify aspects that are well understood, topics that remain unexplored, and urgent questions that need to be addressed in the future.

Keywords: adaptation strategies; deciduous trees; fruit breeding; global warming; prediction models; production systems; sustainable agriculture; warm temperate climate.

Publication types

  • Systematic Review

Grants and funding

The author(s) declare financial support was received for the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article. This research was supported by the Chilean Ministry of Education, project FRO1795 “Fruticultura Sin Fronteras” and by the National Research and Development Agency (ANID), Chile, project PAI77190085. NC also acknowledges funding received from Universidad de La Frontera, project DI21-0104. We thank the Partnership for Research and Innovation in the Mediterranean Area (PRIMA), a program supported under H2020, the European Union’s Framework program for research and innovation, for partly supporting this research within the AdaMedOr project (grant number 01DH20012 of the German Federal Ministry of Education and Research).