Real-world advantage and challenge of post-autologous stem cell transplantation MRD negativity in high-risk patients with double-hit multiple myeloma

Abstract

Background: Autologous stem-cell transplantation (ASCT) remains a beneficial approach for patients with newly diagnosed multiple myeloma (NDMM) in the age of novel therapeutic agents. Nevertheless, limited real-world data is available to establish criteria for identifying high-risk ASCT patients.

Methods: We analyzed outcomes for 168 NDMM patients who underwent ASCT at our center from December 2015 to December 2022. We investigated the impact of the number of high-risk cytogenetics (HRCA), defined as t(4;14), t(14;16), 1q21 gain/amplification, and del(17p), as well as the post-ASCT minimal residual disease (MRD) status as prognostic indicators. We assessed progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS), and focused on identifying risk factors.

Results: The cohort included 42% of patients (n = 71) with 0 HRCA, 42% (n = 71) with 1 HRCA, and 16% (n = 26) with ≥ 2 HRCA. After a median follow-up of 31 months, the median PFS was 53 months (95% CI, 37-69), and OS was not reached for the entire cohort. Despite similar rates of MRD-negativity post-ASCT, patients with ≥ 2 HRCA, termed "double hit" (DH), had a significantly higher risk of progression/mortality than those with 0 or 1 HRCA. Multivariate analysis highlighted DH (HR 4.103, 95% CI, 2.046-8.231) and MRD positivity post-ASCT (HR 6.557, 95% CI, 3.217-13.366) as adverse prognostic factors for PFS, with DH also linked to inferior OS. As anticipated, DH patients with post-ASCT MRD positivity displayed the poorest prognosis, with a median PFS of 7 months post-ASCT. Meanwhile, DH patients with MRD negativity post-ASCT showed improved prognosis, akin to MRD-negative non-DH patients. It is noteworthy to exercise caution, as DH patients who initially achieved MRD negativity experienced a 41% cumulative loss of that status within one year.

Conclusions: This study strongly advocates integrating DH genetic assessments for eligible ASCT patients and emphasizes the importance of ongoing MRD monitoring, as well as considering MRD-based treatment adaptation for those patients in real-world settings.

Keywords: Autologous stem-cell transplantation; Double hit; High-risk cytogenetics; Minimal residual disease; Multiple myeloma; Real-world.