Predictive Modelling in pharmacokinetics: from in-silico simulations to personalized medicine

Expert Opin Drug Metab Toxicol. 2024 Apr;20(4):181-195. doi: 10.1080/17425255.2024.2330666. Epub 2024 Mar 20.

Abstract

Introduction: Pharmacokinetic parameters assessment is a critical aspect of drug discovery and development, yet challenges persist due to limited training data. Despite advancements in machine learning and in-silico predictions, scarcity of data hampers accurate prediction of drug candidates' pharmacokinetic properties.

Areas covered: The study highlights current developments in human pharmacokinetic prediction, talks about attempts to apply synthetic approaches for molecular design, and searches several databases, including Scopus, PubMed, Web of Science, and Google Scholar. The article stresses importance of rigorous analysis of machine learning model performance in assessing progress and explores molecular modeling (MM) techniques, descriptors, and mathematical approaches. Transitioning to clinical drug development, article highlights AI (Artificial Intelligence) based computer models optimizing trial design, patient selection, dosing strategies, and biomarker identification. In-silico models, including molecular interactomes and virtual patients, predict drug performance across diverse profiles, underlining the need to align model results with clinical studies for reliability. Specialized training for human specialists in navigating predictive models is deemed critical. Pharmacogenomics, integral to personalized medicine, utilizes predictive modeling to anticipate patient responses, contributing to more efficient healthcare system. Challenges in realizing potential of predictive modeling, including ethical considerations and data privacy concerns, are acknowledged.

Expert opinion: AI models are crucial in drug development, optimizing trials, patient selection, dosing, and biomarker identification and hold promise for streamlining clinical investigations.

Keywords: In-silico modeling; Personalized medicine; pharmacogenomics; pharmacokinetics; validation.

Publication types

  • Review

MeSH terms

  • Artificial Intelligence*
  • Computer Simulation*
  • Drug Design
  • Drug Development* / methods
  • Drug Discovery / methods
  • Humans
  • Machine Learning*
  • Models, Biological
  • Models, Molecular
  • Pharmaceutical Preparations / administration & dosage
  • Pharmaceutical Preparations / metabolism
  • Pharmacogenetics
  • Pharmacokinetics*
  • Precision Medicine* / methods
  • Reproducibility of Results

Substances

  • Pharmaceutical Preparations