Enhancing Vault Prediction and ICL Sizing Through Advanced Machine Learning Models

J Refract Surg. 2024 Mar;40(3):e126-e132. doi: 10.3928/1081597X-20240131-01. Epub 2024 Mar 1.

Abstract

Purpose: To use artificial intelligence (AI) technology to accurately predict vault and Implantable Collamer Lens (ICL) size.

Methods: The methodology focused on enhancing predictive capabilities through the fusion of machine-learning algorithms. Specifically, AdaBoost, Random Forest, Decision Tree, Support Vector Regression, LightGBM, and XGBoost were integrated into a majority-vote model. The performance of each model was evaluated using appropriate metrics such as accuracy, precision, F1-score, and area under the curve (AUC).

Results: The majority-vote model exhibited the highest performance among the classification models, with an accuracy of 81.9% area under the curve (AUC) of 0.807. Notably, LightGBM (accuracy = 0.788, AUC = 0.803) and XGBoost (ACC = 0.790, AUC = 0.801) demonstrated competitive results. For the ICL size prediction, the Random Forest model achieved an impressive accuracy of 85.3% (AUC = 0.973), whereas XG-Boost (accuracy = 0.834, AUC = 0.961) and LightGBM (accuracy = 0.816, AUC = 0.961) maintained their compatibility.

Conclusions: This study highlights the potential of diverse machine learning algorithms to enhance postoperative vault and ICL size prediction, ultimately contributing to the safety of ICL implantation procedures. Furthermore, the introduction of the novel majority-vote model demonstrates its capability to combine the advantages of multiple models, yielding superior accuracy. Importantly, this study will empower ophthalmologists to use a precise tool for vault prediction, facilitating informed ICL size selection in clinical practice. [J Refract Surg. 2024;40(3):e126-e132.].

MeSH terms

  • Algorithms
  • Area Under Curve
  • Artificial Intelligence
  • Humans
  • Lenses, Intraocular*
  • Machine Learning
  • Phakic Intraocular Lenses*
  • Retrospective Studies