A nomogram of preoperative indicators predicting lymph vascular space invasion in cervical cancer

Abstract

Purpose: To develop predictive nomograms of lymph vascular space invasion (LVSI) in patients with early-stage cervical cancer.

Methods: We identified 403 patients with cervical cancer from the Affiliated Hospital of Jiangnan University from January 2015 to December 2019. Patients were divided into the training set (n = 242) and the validation set (n = 161), with patients in the training set subdivided into LVSI (+) and LVSI (-) groups according to postoperative pathology. Preoperative hematologic indexes were compared between the two subgroups. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to analyze the independent risk factors for LVSI, from which a nomogram was constructed using the R package.

Results: LVSI (+) was present in 94 out of 242 patients in the training set, accompanied by a significant increase in the preoperative squamous cell carcinoma antigen (SCC), white blood cells (WBC), neutrophil (NE), platelet (PLT), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), systemic inflammation index (SII), and tumor size (P < 0.05). Univariate analysis showed that SCC, WBC, NE, NLR, PLR, SII, and tumor size were correlated with LVSI (P < 0.05), and multivariate analysis showed that tumor size, SCC, WBC, and NLR were independent risk factors for LVSI (P < 0.05). A nomogram was correspondingly established with good performance in predicting LVSI [training: ROC-AUC = 0.845 (95% CI: 0.731-0.843) and external validation: ROC-AUC = 0.704 (95% CI: 0.683-0.835)] and high accuracy (training: C-index = 0.787; external validation: C-index = 0.759).

Conclusion: The nomogram based on preoperative tumor size, SCC, WBC, and NLR had excellent accuracy and discriminative capability to assess the risk of LVSI in early-stage cervical cancer patients.

Keywords: Cervical cancer; Hematologic indexes; Lymph vascular space invasion; Nomogram; Preoperative indicator.