Background: To identify the factors influencing the early encapsulation of peripancreatic fluid/necrosis collections via contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CECT) and to determine the clinical significance of early encapsulation for determining the prognosis of acute pancreatitis (AP) patients.
Methods: AP patients who underwent CECT between 4 and 10 days after disease onset were enrolled in this study. Early encapsulation was defined as a continuous enhancing wall around peripancreatic fluid/necrosis collections on CECT. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to assess the associations between the variables and early encapsulation. Clinical outcomes were compared between the non-encapsulation and early encapsulation groups with 1:1 propensity score matching.
Results: A total of 289 AP patients were enrolled. The intra-observer and inter-observer agreement were considered good (kappa statistics of 0.729 and 0.614, respectively) for identifying early encapsulation on CECT. The ratio of encapsulation increased with time, with a ratio of 12.5% on day 5 to 48.7% on day 9. Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that the longer time from onset to CECT examination (OR 1.55, 95% CI 1.23-1.97), high alanine aminotransferase level (OR 0.98, 95% CI 0.97-0.99), and high APACHE II score (OR 0.89, 95% CI 0.81-0.98) were found to be independent factors associated with delayed encapsulation. The incidence of persistent organ failure was significantly lower in the early encapsulation group after matching (22.4% vs 6.1%, p = 0.043). However, there was no difference in the incidence of infected pancreatic necrosis, surgical intervention, or in-hospital mortality.
Conclusions: AP patients without early encapsulation of peripancreatic fluid/necrosis collections have a greater risk of persistent organ failure. In addition to longer time, the high APACHE II score and elevated alanine aminotransferase level are factors associated with delayed encapsulation.
Keywords: Acute pancreatitis; Contrast-enhanced computed tomography; Infection; Organ failure; Risk factors.
© 2024. The Author(s).