Identification of CCL20 as a prognostic predictor for severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome based on plasma proteomics

Abstract

Background: Severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome (SFTS), a lethal tick-borne hemorrhagic fever, prompted our investigation into prognostic predictors and potential drug targets using plasma Olink Proteomics.

Methods: Employing the Olink assay, we analyzed 184 plasma proteins in 30 survivors and 8 non-survivors of SFTS. Validation was performed in a cohort of 154 SFTS patients using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. We utilized the Drug Gene Interaction database to identify protein-drug interactions.

Results: Non-survivors exhibited 110 differentially expressed proteins (DEPs) compared to survivors, with functional enrichment in the cell chemotaxis-related pathway. Thirteen DEPs, including C-C motif chemokine 20 (CCL20), calcitonin gene-related peptide alpha and Pleiotrophin, were associated with multiple organ dysfunction syndrome. CCL20 emerged as the top predictor of death, demonstrating an area under the curve of 1 (P = .0004) and 0.9033 (P < .0001) in the discovery and validation cohort, respectively. Patients with CCL20 levels exceeding 45.74 pg/mL exhibited a fatality rate of 45.65%, while no deaths occurred in those with lower CCL20 levels. Furthermore, we identified 202 FDA-approved drugs targeting 37 death-related plasma proteins.

Conclusions: Distinct plasma proteomic profiles characterize SFTS patients with different outcomes, with CCL20 emerging as a novel, sensitive, accurate, and specific biomarker for predicting SFTS prognosis.

Keywords: C-C motif chemokine 20; plasma proteomics; prognostic predictor; severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome.